The latest projection from a national political forecasting website gives Cindy Axne a slight edge over incumbent David Young in the race for Iowa’s Third Congressional District.
FiveThirtyEight.com has released its forecast for all 435 Congressional seats for the November General Election. The forecast for Iowa’s Third Congressional District currently gives Democrat Cindy Axne a two-in-three chance of winning the race, projecting her to finish with 49.3 percent of the vote. GOP incumbent David Young is given a one-in-three chance of winning with 46.2 percent of the vote.
The Third District race is garnering national attention as Republicans attempt to maintain control of the House and Democrats try to flip 25 seats to find themselves in the majority. Vice President Mike Pence was in Des Moines this week and hosted a private fundraiser for Young.
In northern Missouri, FiveThirtyEight projects Republican incumbent Sam Graves to retain his seat in a race against Democrat Henry Robert Martin. Nebraska’s First and Third Districts are projected to stay Republican with incumbents Jeff Fortenberry and Adrian Smith, while the Second District is as a toss-up with Democratic challenger Kara Eastman holding a small advantage over Republican incumbent Don Bacon.
A link to full projections from the website can be found at FiveThirtyEight.com.