Election analysts at the Cook Political Report said Wednesday Iowa’s 3rd District Congressional race is now considered a “toss up” between Democrat Cindy Axne and Republican incumbent Rep. David Young.
The race previously was rated “leans Republican.”
The district, which covers 16 counties and includes Des Moines, is “exactly the kind of seat that will decide the House” in November, Cook analyst David Wasserman wrote.
“Barack Obama won (the district) by four points in 2012, but it voted for President Trump 48 percent to 45 percent in 2016,” he wrote. “GOP Rep. David Young hasn’t cracked 54 percent since winning the seat in 2014, and (he) lacks a truly independent political brand.”
The district’s voters are evenly split with about 34 percent registered as Democrats and 34 percent as Republican. Most of the rest identify as no party.
Axne, a former state government official and a small-business owner from West Des Moines, easily won her party’s primary in June. She is challenging Young, a two-term Republican from Van Meter who was unopposed in the Republican primary.